{"id":484,"date":"2010-05-07T16:11:58","date_gmt":"2010-05-07T15:11:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/?p=484"},"modified":"2010-05-07T16:11:58","modified_gmt":"2010-05-07T15:11:58","slug":"coalitions-and-the-mandate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/?p=484","title":{"rendered":"Coalitions, and the mandate."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>There&#8217;s talk in the opinion pages about the possibilities of coalitions between parties in Parliament, some of which are quite disturbing. A key example is Benedict Brogan&#8217;s in the Telegraph <a title=\"Benedict Brogan\" href=\"http:\/\/blogs.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/benedictbrogan\/100038568\/get-your-pitchforks-ready-labour-is-planning-a-coalition-of-the-losers\/\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>. The quote I&#8217;d really like to draw your attention to, and which I think does not work in the context of a coalitions is this:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>What we should all focus on is the message emerging from Brown Central,  that a deal between the two big losers \u2013 Labour and Lib Dems \u2013 is  possible, and could even include a new Labour leader to make it  \u2018acceptable\u2019. The idea that we would be governed by a coalition of  losers led by someone who was not among the three leaders who paraded  themselves on telly should have us reaching for our pitchforks.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the point &#8211;\u00a0 a coalition government is where parties who are broadly aligned work together. A coalition of two smaller parties working together has an absolutely legitimate mandate when the coalition is larger than a largest single party.<\/p>\n<p>In this case, if the Liberal Democrats are the party who can bridge the gap to a majority, then the seat count becomes less important when it comes to determining weight within a coalition. Look at the shares of the popular vote which each party received (from the BBC <a title=\"BBC electoral results\" href=\"http:\/\/news.bbc.co.uk\/1\/shared\/election2010\/results\/\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>):<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Conservatives &#8211; 10,681,417 &#8211; 36.1%<\/li>\n<li>Labour &#8211; 8,601,441 &#8211; 29.1%<\/li>\n<li>Liberal Democrats &#8211; 6,805,665 &#8211; 23%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>These are the numbers of people who backed each party, rather than the number of seats they won. A ConLib coalition would have 17,487,082 voters backing them, 59.1% of the turnout, dwarfing Labour. A LabLib coalition would have 15,407,106 voters backing them, 52.1% of the turnout, and that would dwarf the Conservatives.<\/p>\n<p>If the Tories cannot work in a coalition with the Liberal Democrats, but Labour can, then the Tories do not have the mandate to govern.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There&#8217;s talk in the opinion pages about the possibilities of coalitions between parties in Parliament, some of which are quite disturbing. A key example is Benedict Brogan&#8217;s in the Telegraph here. The quote I&#8217;d really like to draw your attention to, and which I think does not work in the context of a coalitions is [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[43],"tags":[355,356,357,863],"class_list":["post-484","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","tag-coalitions","tag-hung-parliament","tag-mandate","tag-politics"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pAkBY-7O","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":481,"url":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/?p=481","url_meta":{"origin":484,"position":0},"title":"So the General Election&#8217;s on Thursday&#8230;","author":"MattWPBS","date":"May 5, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"Come along kind of quickly I think. If you're in the UK, I hope you're going to vote this time, even if you're opposed to the current political system. There's a really simple reason why it's worth it - this time around it looks like voting reform has a good\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Politics&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Politics","link":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/?cat=43"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":486,"url":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/?p=486","url_meta":{"origin":484,"position":1},"title":"Sky News appear to be cracking up","author":"MattWPBS","date":"May 10, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"Apparently, these presenters are presenting neutral views of the election, with no bias towards the Conservatives, Labour or the Liberal Democrats. Adam Boulton insisting that the Conservatives won the election: Kay Burley insisting that protesters should \"go home and watch it on Sky News\": (and failing to be able to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Politics&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Politics","link":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/?cat=43"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":128,"url":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/?p=128","url_meta":{"origin":484,"position":2},"title":"iPlayer: Expenses, The MPs&#8217; Story","author":"MattWPBS","date":"July 21, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"Listened to this on Radio 4 earlier, and it's something that's worth recommending to other people. It's a Radio 4 documentary covering the personal impact on MPs following the expenses scandal. As the intro says, not the details, but the human side of the story. In May 2009, a media\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;iPlayer Recommendations&quot;","block_context":{"text":"iPlayer Recommendations","link":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/?cat=54"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/media.livenation.co.uk\/fido\/\/publishing\/news\/i\/m\/c\/Radio4-new-logo-with-frequency.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":176,"url":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/?p=176","url_meta":{"origin":484,"position":3},"title":"Balance is a media myth","author":"MattWPBS","date":"July 24, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"Absolutely spot on piece in the Irish Times by John Gibbons. There's no more need to give credence to someone who denies global warming or MMR without evidence, than to someone who denies the moon landings or Elvis's death. Commentators thus feel free to \u201cpick a result from anywhere you\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Politics&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Politics","link":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/?cat=43"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":112,"url":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/?p=112","url_meta":{"origin":484,"position":4},"title":"Iranian elections, number analysis","author":"MattWPBS","date":"July 20, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"I'm catching up on stuff which I've noted down before and thought \"Damn, that's interesting - must share that with people.\" This is one of those things which you read and feel both impressed and depressed by. Pretty persuasive evidence from the Washington Post that the Iranian elections were rigged,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Politics&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Politics","link":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/?cat=43"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":248,"url":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/?p=248","url_meta":{"origin":484,"position":5},"title":"Dear god&#8230; Bill O&#8217;Reilly does not understand maths&#8230;","author":"MattWPBS","date":"July 29, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"This is one of the most influential men in the media in America. Worried yet? 10 times as many people, 10 times as many accidents, 10 times as large a tax base. Media Matters, via The Huffington Post.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Politics&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Politics","link":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/?cat=43"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/484","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=484"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/484\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=484"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=484"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mattwpbs.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=484"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}